There could be as many as five quarterbacks taken in the first round of the draft this year.
Several teams including the Browns, Giants, Colts, Broncos, Jets, Cardinals, Jaguars, Bills and Redskins will all be in the market for a quarterback. Heck, even the Patriots will be in the market for one. They need to find Tom Brady’s eventual successor.
It is too early to rank these quarterbacks as I think they will get drafted. I will give you my top ten right now but this list will change after the combine and once these quarterbacks go through their pro days.
Here are my top ten quarterbacks in this class and how I rank them.
1. Josh Rosen, 6-4 218 UCLA: Rosen is the most physically gifted quarterback in this class but concerns about his durability and maturity could prevent him from going first overall.
2. Sam Darnold, 6-4 225, USC: Darnold has the most long term upside of any quarterback in this class but he needs to clean up his mechanics and improve his decision making before he starts an NFL game.
3. Josh Allen, 6-5 233, Wyoming: Like Carson Wentz, Allen didn’t receive any major offers coming out of high school. Both Wentz and Allen were coached by Craig Bohl. Wentz at North Dakota State and Allen at Wyoming. I mention Wentz because Allen comps favorably to the Eagles quarterback. Both are big, raw athletes who played in a similar system in college. Allen will need time to develop but he has terrific upside. He must work on his timing and accuracy and improve in those areas. If he does, Allen could go in the top 15.
4. Baker Mayfield, 6-1 220, Oklahoma: Mayfield is a winner, plain and simple. He might not pass the NFL eye test but the Heisman Trophy winner has a live arm and is athletic. He can make every throw in the book and is super competitive. Mayfield deserves first round consideration despite his character concerns.
5. Lamar Jackson, 6-3 210, Louisville: The 2016 Heisman Trophy winner has put up monster numbers at Louisville the past two seasons. Jackson threw for over 3,400 yards and rushed for 1,400 yards each of the last two seasons. Some in the scouting community wonder if Jackson should transition to wide receiver. That is nonsense. He can play quarterback in the NFL. Jackson needs to end up somewhere where there is a veteran quarterback in place and he can sit for a couple of years and learn. If ends up in that situation, he will be better for it.
6. Mason Rudolph, 6-5 230, Oklahoma State: Rudolph put up big numbers in Oklahoma State’s spread offense the past three seasons. Rudolph looked calm and in control playing in the Cowboys spread offense. He can make every throw in the book, particularly down the field but there are questions as to whether or not he makes his teammates better or raises his game against good competition. I like Rudolph. I think he has good size and I view him as a first round talent. I’m not sure the scouting community does however.
7. Luke Falk, 6-4 210, Washington State: Falk posted video game numbers in Mike Leach complex Air Raid offense at Washington State. Falk has a terrific arm and displays good touch and accuracy on all of his throws. Durability and decision making are the two major concerns with Falk. He is the one guy in this group who could potentially sneak into the first round with a solid combine and pro day.
8. Riley Ferguson, 6-4 210, Memphis: Ferguson had a huge season statistically at Memphis. He has a strong arm and displays good accuracy in all three levels of the passing game. One of the knocks on Ferguson is that he played in a dink and dunk, RPO based offense but I don’t think it should be a knock on him. It shows that Ferguson has a high I.Q and can make quick decisions. Ferguson is a day two talent that has the tools to develop into a starter.
9. Kurt Benkurt, 6-4 215, Virginia: Benkurt has good size and shows a willingness to hang in the pocket and get the ball out on time. He moves well in the pocket and shows good touch and accuracy on his deep ball. Benkurt is not a great athlete by any means but he has the tools to be a starting quarterback.
10. Mike White, 6-4 225, Western Kentucky: White completed 66 percent of his passes last season. Sure, that was in a spread offense but White has good pocket mechanics and accuracy. Limited arm strength and athleticism will hurt White’s draft stock.
10A. Tanner Lee, 6-4 220, Nebraska: Lee is an intriguing prospect who I may move up on this list if he performs well at the combine and in his pro day workout. He has some intriguing upside physically.